Tuesday, July 5, 2011

Nudge: Biases and Blunders



 I'm going to start reviewing the book 'Nudge' chapter by chapter. If you don't already know, 'Nudge' is a book by Thaler & Sunstein and it's about improving decisions, health, wealth, happiness, and personally for me, opinions. Biases and Blunders, the first chapter of Part I points out one main thing which you should know, the way you think or the way your brain acts to something. It's expressed in two ways, automatic and reflective. What can you tell from this? Automatic generally means, done by itself or independent, whilst reflective means the result of something or rather produced by. To make reflective thinking make more sense, its basically your un-confident gut idea being added on with a more well thought idea. The book itself describes automatic as uncontrolled, effortless, and fast. Reflective is more controlled,  effortful, and slow (obviously slower than automatic thinking). Take 1+1 for example, do you need to work out anything, no, it's obviously 2, no question about it. If you do need to work out something, think, or consider, it's reflective thinking.

 One part of the human thinking is the rule of thumb. In may own words the rule of thumb is solving something or getting something for what we generally know as it is faster, rather than research. This way of thinking can be good but it can lead to many false thoughts. Such as generalizing kids to be disruptive or a certain race to be rude. There are three parts to the rule of thumb, anchoring, availability and representatives.
 Anchoring is finding something out with information that you already know. They give a very well put example in the book but i'll give my own example, lets say that there are two children who are having a party. One child is popular and has a big house, the other child is less popular and has a smaller house. The unpopular child has ten people at his party, how can we estimate the amount at the popular kids house? We get an anchor, which is what we know, the unpopular child has ten people at his party. Then you adjust that number in what you feel is right and appropriate, so how about the popular kid has three times the amount of people in his party. So its thirty people at the popular kids party, this isn't accurate but studies show that this is a method of thinking that some people use. I must've thought like this at one point of my life and maybe even you did, it's natural, it's human.
 Availability is another rule of thumb. I'll explain the example in the book, do you worry about tornadoes, floods, or a tsunami? Maybe you do, maybe you don't, but it depends on what you've experienced. Would you get insurance for a flood in the desert, never! You may be more likely to get insurance for a hurricane after a hurricane just occurred but as time passess you will forget it and stop the insurance, so fear strikes more depending on your experience and it's a natural human instinct.  A biased version of this could come out. A person had a bad history with floods and later forgets about it. When prompted on insurance care, anyone can easily remind him of the flood, leading him to fear a flood more than a tsunami or hurricane.
 Representative is the last rule of thumb telling us how something can go to something else or relate to it. Most people would think a tall African American would be a good basketball player while a short person wouldn't. This is true in many ways but can be a bad way to perceive something. Another example is if a baseball player gets a home-run. The coach or fans may say that he's on fire and that he's likely to get another home-run. This is a myth or saying because it isn't true, you don't gain some power from scoring multiply and there is no 'hot-hand' or 'on fire.' If someone scored in soccer and he does it again, it may just be because, everyone thinks he's on fire and they are trying to defend him and bring him closer to the goal or that the person gets motivated and does better. Yet it all ends up as the way we take things or think.

 Losses are big, no one likes to lose. Gains and losses is a sub-title on page 36 of Nudge. This is another interesting study which proves many different things.  Lets say you were given a free ticket and another guy wasn't given a free ticket but he was given the option to buy the ticket from you. The other guy wouldn't care much, it's just a ticket after-all. But the guy asks you for the ticket, though he wants it for free. You got it for free but have a desire to keep it. It's inside you, you don't want to lose something. So here is a sum of it. I got a free ticket but i don't want to give it and I don't have a ticket but I don't feel the urge to buy it. If you don't understand than take it this way. You pass by a stall and see some wares, you're just looking around with no money, not wanting anything, just looking. The owner offers a free gift to you, you take it. Some random stranger wants it from you but you don't give it. Put it that way, it should make gains and losses easier.

 Status Quo Bias is a way of going which William Samuelson and Richard Zeckhauser have dubbed. It's the way of forgetting something or sticking to a current thing. In other words, not bothering to change or simply 'whatever.' A guy signs his inheritance to his mother and later gets married. He intends to leave his inheritance to his wife but never does, he just can't be bothered. So planning your best defaults and foundation is essential as you may later lose it in life or don't have time for it. Another way to call 'Status Quo Bias' is loss aversion and mindless choosing.

 Framing is an interesting way of thinking and you should consider this in your life. Framing is a success because people can be un-thoughtful decision makers and not look at something right. If you had a serious disease and went to a doctor and the doctor said that after the operation nine out of ten people survived, you'd most likely take it. But if the doctor said one of ten people died, it would be worrying and a thought may come of you being that one out of ten people who die. If you look at it both ways are the same but framing can change your decision. Altogether framing is a powerful as people make decisions from this through automatic thinking not reflective thinking. Decision, decisions, its all in your decision. Think carefully, frames are good nudges.

 In conclusion, decisions in life are changed and thought of in many different ways and humans are nudge-able. The chapter gives a very good last example of a 'Nudge' in real life. In Chicago's Lake Shore Drive, there are a series of 'S' curves. This means that drivers should be aware, I may not be able to drive but I know that you'de have to hold the brakes and drive slower in a situation like that. Anyways, many drivers just don't listen and don't follow the speed limit at the 'S' turn which is 25mph. In order to save lives, the city brought a new system to help the drivers. At the beginning of the curves there are lines painted on the road, evenly spaced and well put (not speed bumps). As the driver encounters the most dangerous corner of the road, the lines are painted closer to each other giving the driver the feeling or sensation of them speeding up, which in result makes them brake even more. This helps them slow down over-all. So when driving on the road people may find the lines as guidance and somewhat speaking to you to slow down and hit the brakes at times. Well as a good ending to the chapter, we have been 'Nudged!'

What specifically is a 'Nudge?'  At first glance, most people would consider a nudge to be a push but its also an urge to do something or decide. Specific from merriam-webster, this is the meaning:
 to prod lightly : urge into action


Check it yourself:  Definition of 'Nudge.'








Which table is a better coffee table? What are the dimensions? 


Monday, July 4, 2011

Shangri La

 Have you ever heard of Shangri La? Other than being a luxurious hotel and all, what is Shangri La? Where was it's origin and why is it this way? Hotels are meant to be a comfortable place and a sort of fun, resting, and relaxing area to stay in overnight or longer. Shangri La on the other-hand is actually Earthly Paradise. It is said to be a remote place without the touch of civilization or any human exploration. More specifically, it is like a beautiful jungle with waterfalls and a range of plants, prosperous trees and old temples. Who made this up or thought of this/believed it? In 1933, in the book 'Lost Horizon' by James Hilton, he mentioned a type of remote paradise on earth. Where is the location thought to be? Shangri La is believed to be around Tibet or China. It is said to be remote because Buddhist monks lived there in peace, un-touched by other cause of disturbance. Due to this some hotels are called Shangri La because they are referring to the earthly paradise, a myth or belief. The next time you go to a Shangri La hotel, ask the receptionist about Shangri La itself, see if you get an answer!

Sunday, July 3, 2011

Wimbledon Finals

  Wimbledon, the world cup for tennis, is in its final stages. Rafael Nadal and Novak Djokovic are set to battle today (July 3rd 2011). Djokovic recently had a match with Tsonga and Djokovic was the winner. Nadal faced off against Andy Murray and Nadal won. Now It's the set, two amazing tennis players face off  for the mens tennis finals for Wimbledon. My personal opinion is that Nadal will win, though I'm biased on either of them. Djokovic is a great player, with quite a temper, but other than that, he's good! In fact, Djokovic reminds me of one of my friends. Im going to get ready to watch the match at 5:00 from the United Arab Emirates. I'm just hoping for a good game, an intense one, but i forgot to mention Nadal is injured. Still, even though he's injured, I still have high hopes for him.

Wednesday, June 29, 2011

Pareidolia

 It has been a long time seen I've updated my blog but anyways, I'm back! I bet you'de be wondering what the meaning of 'Pareidolia' is. This word isn't the average word you'de stumble upon but I actually did. A song by Elena Seigman called 'Pareidolia' was just released. It was a very nice song but I was wondering what 'Pareidolia' meant.
 Here is the meaning from 'fact-archive.com: The tendency to interpret a vague stimulus as something known to the viewer; such as interpreting marks on Mars as canals or seeing shapes in clouds.


 Basically pareidolia means seeing something in a different way, like the definition above, clouds are an excellent example of pareidolia. Most people would see clouds forming shapes, cars, or objects. Another example is the 'man on the moon.' People believe that they see something else from an object.


What do you see? Admit it, it does appear to be a sad face or some other face.  Excellent example of pareidolia.

Friday, June 10, 2011

My Youtube

 Youtube has been an extremely big network for videos. You can find almost any video you want to watch on Youtube, in fact, you can watch movies! That upload limit for Youtube is 10:00 (Some say 10:59 minutes, but its not confirmed) minutes unless you have a partnership or some type of Youtube license. Before, people who made their account with the 'director' status could upload longer videos but that changed. Lots of people make a career on Youtube, you can make money by simply getting loads of views. You need a certain amount of subscribers and 10,000 views on a number of your videos, than Youtube will play you to post more videos. To add to that, famous 'Youtubers' usually have sponsers which add on to the money! Well anyways, if you have a Youtube, add me and subscribe! These days I just post gaming videos but I will post other types of videos in the future.
USER: Deathfindo

Click to see my Youtube Channel!!!!

Sunday, May 29, 2011

Mac Essentials: No Kernals and Viruses

Apple's Mac computers can be a complicated computer due to its difference to the PC. Mac's are very well made laptops with an amazing design. Though the fact that mac's can't get viruses is partly true you still need to be cautious and smart whilst using your Mac. There ARE viruses for Macs, it is extremely hard to get one, but there are. Adding on to a virus, sometimes a program, file, or a software may cause your computer to crash/freeze. This is called a Kernal Panic. A Kernal Panic will stop all processes and bring a grey like screen with the power sign in the background telling you to shut down your computer. Kernal panics could be the result of over-use of your Mac, faulty RAM, a virus, or too many programs running at once. There are many possibilities for the Kernal panic and hopefully this article will resolve the problem. To avoid viruses or Kernal panics, I recommend getting MacCleanse.

MacCleans: http://maccleanse.en.softonic.com/mac - This is a safe website to download Maccleanse (Trial) for your Mac computer. This wonderful software deletes harmful, not used, old, or potential virus files, programs, and other software. In result, this helps reduce Kernal Panics and viruses.

Hopefully MacCleanse resolves virus problems or Kernal Panics. Another reason for just a plain Kernal Panic is because of over-heating. This can happen when your just watching Youtube videos, playing games, or opening websites with lots of Flash. There are many more things which can contribute to over-heating but those are the main ones. I watch many Youtube videos and play many games like World or Warcraft or Assault Cube and my computer over-heats. What can reduce this heat? Firstly, you could buy a Computer Cooling Pad for your Mac. This is probably the best choice as it helps A LOT. But if your low on money or don't want to spend cash than you could activate the built in fan thats inside every Mac or generally Computer. How do you turn on your fan? Download smcFancontrol (Completely free and easy to use)

smcFanControl: http://www.macupdate.com/app/mac/23049/smcfancontrol - This is a 100% safe place to download the smcFancontrol. You can monitor your Macs temperature and control the speed of your fan (rpm), thus bringing the temperature down.

The best thing is to have a cooling pad and the smcFancontrol to really cool your Mac. Is your computer STILL faulty? Tell the truth, are you careless with you Mac? Do you have marks, scratches or anything broken parts on your Mac? Being careless is very fatal for your delicate Mac. The hardware could have a possibility of moving around which ISN'T good! Whats the solution? Casing, plain casing thats strong, sturdy, and stylish. This helps reduce Kernal panics even if it doesn't sound right. The other things that can help you is common sense. If you have anything that you don't use, delete it. Memory is very precious. Clean your Mac with an Air duster or with a cleaning fabric. Don't put many things on your dock and manually clean your Mac from un-necessary applications, files, software, or programs. If you still have problems with your Mac, than maybe its a problem with your OS. Get your installation CD and re-download the current OS. Software updates also solves some bugs which can lead to panics. If you think something serious happened, send your Mac to a Apple store or retailer for a fix or check. Hopefully this helps your Mac!

A picture of a Mac skin or 'shell.'

Sunday, May 15, 2011

The Playstation Network Recovery

For the gamers of the Playstation 3 and PSP, April 20th 2011 to this day (May 15th 2011) must have been frustrating. Many people lost their hope in Sony, they thought that it was the end of the Playstation 3. But why and how did this happen? It started around April 20th, whenever someone tried to sign in to the Playstation Network (PSN) it would say that there was an error. It seemed like a minor problem to me and to many others, I truthfully thought that it was a problem with my internet. Days later, it was something many people couldn't ignore. Reports were sent to Sony and to the companies surprise, they were hacked. A group of hackers, who's identity aren't known managed to hack into the system and therefore able to steal the accounts of many users. A lot of people lost money due to this and it was a major problem for Sony. According to a variety of resources, Sony lost millions of dollars. It wasn't an easy thing to fix, Sony claimed that they were recovering weeks after the incident but it seemed like nothing happened. At last, Sony made a claim that they were recovering Sony fully and bring its service back on May 31st. But it turns out that it came earlier. The Network is now fixed but it is currently available in the US. The rest of the world should find it available later in this week. Sony promised a type of 'reward' for all of the users, its taken as a 'thanks for waiting patiently for the network to be fixed' type of reward. I waited long for this but its okay, every once and a while it happens. I think PSN is better than paying for online services which is required for the Xbox in the Xbox Live. So there it is, the Playstation Network is back for the Playstation 3 and PSP! I mentioned that the identity of the hackers is unknown but rumors have it that the inventors of the Iphone/Ipod/Ipad jailbreak were behind it. Another rumor is, that Xbox is next. Brace yourself Microsoft, you may be next!

Hearthstone

So it seems to be a trend for me, new year, new game. This year brings forth the strategic card game known as Hearthstone. Initially, i tho...